Championship· Regular Season - 43· Pride Park
Derby
Oxford United1-0
FT
Derby vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Derby vs Oxford United tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Oxford United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XDerby or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Oxford United or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.94 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 1Derby to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Oxford United to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.40 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Oxford United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.04 | - |
Derby vs Oxford United preview & analysis
Match preview
Derby host Oxford United in the Championship (Regular Season - 43) at Pride Park on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Derby have won 2, Oxford United have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Derby narrow favourites: Derby 38%, draw 32%, Oxford United 30%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 20 |  Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 |  West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 |  Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | -60 | 0 |
Derby vs Oxford United: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Derby vs Oxford United?
+
Derby are favourites. Our model gives Derby a 38% chance of winning, Oxford United 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Oxford United?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Derby vs Oxford United kick off?
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Derby vs Oxford United kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at Pride Park, Derby.
