Brasileirão· Regular Season - 31· Neo Quimica Arena
Corinthians
Vitoria20 Oct
Corinthians vs Vitoria Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Corinthians to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Corinthians vs Vitoria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| 1XCorinthians or Draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| AH2 +1.5Vitoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.79 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| X2Vitoria or Draw | 46% | 2.16 | 2.21 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | 2.07 |
| AH1 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.93 | 3.07 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.84 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 | 3.42 |
| 2Vitoria to win | 19% | 5.13 | 5.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Vitoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.38 | 9.90 |
Corinthians vs Vitoria odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.84 | 5.36 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.72 | 5.20 | 2.02 | 1.74 | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.76 | 5.37 | 2.11 | 1.75 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.50 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Corinthians vs Vitoria preview & analysis
Match preview
Corinthians host Vitoria in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 31) at Neo Quimica Arena on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Corinthians are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 32 points from 30 games. Vitoria arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 36 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Corinthians have won 3, Vitoria have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Corinthians favourites: Corinthians 54%, draw 27%, Vitoria 19%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Corinthians have the stronger profile here and home advantage tips it further their way. Our pick is Corinthians to win at 1.68, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Corinthians 1-0 Vitoria.
Recent form
Corinthians- 11 OctAPalmeiras1-4
- 7 OctAInternacional1-2
- 20 SeptHFluminense1-3
- 17 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.0-1
- 13 SeptAFlamengo1-2
Vitoria- 11 OctASao Paulo1-2
- 8 OctHChapecoense-sc4-0
- 20 SeptHCruzeiro1-3
- 13 SeptAMirassol2-2
- 8 SeptHGremio1-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Corinthians vs Vitoria: FAQ
What is the Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction?
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Our tip is Corinthians to win at odds of 1.68. Our predicted score is Corinthians 1-0 Vitoria.
Who is the favourite to win Corinthians vs Vitoria?
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Corinthians are favourites. Our model gives Corinthians a 54% chance of winning, Vitoria 19%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Vitoria?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Corinthians vs Vitoria kick off?
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Corinthians vs Vitoria kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo.
