Liga MX· Apertura - 5· Estadio La Corregidora
Club Queretaro
Toluca1-2
FT
Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Club Queretaro vs Toluca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Toluca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Club Queretaro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Toluca or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XClub Queretaro or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Toluca to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Club Queretaro to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Toluca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Club Queretaro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Club Queretaro vs Toluca preview & analysis
Match preview
Club Queretaro host Toluca in the Liga MX (Apertura - 5) at Estadio La Corregidora on Saturday, 22 August 2026, with kick-off at 03:10 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Club Queretaro have won 1, Toluca have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toluca narrow favourites: Club Queretaro 23%, draw 38%, Toluca 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Club Queretaro vs Toluca: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
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Toluca are favourites. Our model gives Club Queretaro a 23% chance of winning, Toluca 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Club Queretaro vs Toluca kick off?
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Club Queretaro vs Toluca kicks off at 03:10 UTC on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago de Queretaro.
