Liga MX· Apertura - 15· Estadio Banorte
Club America
Toluca1 Nov
Club America vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
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More Club America vs Toluca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Toluca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Toluca or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Club America +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XClub America or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Toluca to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Toluca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Club America to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Club America -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Club America vs Toluca preview & analysis
Match preview
Club America host Toluca in the Liga MX (Apertura - 15) at Estadio Banorte on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 03:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Club America arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Monterrey 1-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 21 points from 10 games. Toluca are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 2-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Club America have won 2, Toluca have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toluca narrow favourites: Club America 23%, draw 38%, Toluca 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Club America 1-2 Toluca.
Recent form
Club America- 11 OctHMonterrey1-1
- 5 OctAGuadalajara Chivas0-2
- 2 OctHCruz Azul0-0
- 28 SeptANecaxa4-2
- 20 SeptHGuadalajara Chivas2-2
Toluca- 10 OctATigres UANL2-3
- 4 OctAMonterrey1-2
- 26 SeptACruz Azul3-3
- 21 SeptHSantos Laguna2-3
- 16 SeptAPuebla1-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Club America vs Toluca: FAQ
What is the Club America vs Toluca prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Club America 1-2 Toluca.
Who is the favourite to win Club America vs Toluca?
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Toluca are favourites. Our model gives Club America a 23% chance of winning, Toluca 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Club America vs Toluca?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Club America vs Toluca kick off?
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Club America vs Toluca kicks off at 03:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
