Chesterfield
Exeter City1 Dec
Chesterfield vs Exeter City Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 1 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chesterfield vs Exeter City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chesterfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XChesterfield or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Exeter City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Exeter City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Chesterfield to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chesterfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Exeter City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Exeter City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Chesterfield vs Exeter City preview & analysis
Match preview
Chesterfield host Exeter City in the League Two (Regular Season - 18) at SMH Group Stadium on Tuesday, 1 December 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chesterfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Crawley Town 2-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games. Exeter City arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 12 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chesterfield have won 3, Exeter City have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chesterfield narrow favourites: Chesterfield 44%, draw 38%, Exeter City 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Chesterfield 1-0 Exeter City.
Recent form
- 10 OctACrawley Town2-2
- 3 OctHTranmere4-2
- 26 SeptACheltenham1-2
- 22 SeptHPort Vale1-1
- 19 SeptHYork2-0
- 10 OctAShrewsbury1-0
- 6 OctHOxford United2-2
- 3 OctHRotherham1-0
- 26 SeptABristol Rovers0-1
- 22 SeptACheltenham2-2
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Chesterfield vs Exeter City: FAQ
What is the Chesterfield vs Exeter City prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1-0 Exeter City.
Who is the favourite to win Chesterfield vs Exeter City?
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Chesterfield are favourites. Our model gives Chesterfield a 44% chance of winning, Exeter City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Exeter City?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Chesterfield vs Exeter City kick off?
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Chesterfield vs Exeter City kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 1 December 2026 at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield.