Brasileirão· Regular Season - 30· Arena Condá
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense1-4
FT
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 12 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| X2Atletico Paranaense or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| AH1 +1.5Chapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| 1XChapecoense-sc or Draw | 51% | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 1.94 |
| 2Atletico Paranaense to win | 49% | 2.05 | 1.94 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.17 | 2.01 |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Paranaense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.16 | 3.28 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.35 | 2.97 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| 1Chapecoense-sc to win | 22% | 4.58 | 4.10 |
| AH1 -1.5Chapecoense-sc -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.42 | 8.40 |
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.85 | - | - | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 3.98 | 3.64 | 1.94 | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.65 | 1.92 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.85 | 3.52 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.72 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.12 | 3.69 | 1.92 | 1.91 | 1.98 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.26 | 3.08 | 1.93 | 1.84 | 1.98 | - | - |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense preview & analysis
Match preview
Chapecoense-sc host Atletico Paranaense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 30) at Arena Condá on Monday, 12 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Vitoria 0-4 away. They're 20th in the table with 18 points from 29 games. Atletico Paranaense arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they drew with Atletico-MG 2-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 53 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chapecoense-sc have won 0, Atletico Paranaense have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Paranaense favourites: Chapecoense-sc 22%, draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 49%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Chapecoense-sc- 8 OctAVitoria0-4
- 26 SeptAAtletico Nacional1-1
- 19 SeptAAtletico-MG1-1
- 12 SeptHInternacional1-2
- 6 SeptACorinthians2-1
Atletico Paranaense- 9 OctHAtletico-MG2-2
- 20 SeptHBahia2-1
- 12 SeptACoritiba3-3
- 6 SeptACruzeiro1-3
- 30 AugHFluminense3-3
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense?
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Atletico Paranaense are favourites. Our model gives Chapecoense-sc a 22% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 49%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense kick off?
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Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Monday, 12 October 2026 at Arena Condá, Chapeco.
