La Liga 2· Regular Season - 11· Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Castellón
Sporting Gijon25 Oct
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Castellón vs Sporting Gijon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Castellón +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCastellón or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sporting Gijon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Sporting Gijon or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Castellón to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Castellón -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Sporting Gijon to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sporting Gijon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon preview & analysis
Match preview
Castellón host Sporting Gijon in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 11) at Estadio Municipal de Castalia on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Castellón arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Sporting Gijon arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Cadiz 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Castellón have won 3, Sporting Gijon have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Castellón narrow favourites: Castellón 44%, draw 38%, Sporting Gijon 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Castellón 1-0 Sporting Gijon.
Recent form
Castellón- 11 OctAFC Andorra0-1
- 4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1
- 28 SeptALeganes2-0
- 19 SeptHTenerife5-0
- 12 SeptAGirona2-1
Sporting Gijon- 11 OctACadiz1-0
- 4 OctHCelta de Vigo II3-2
- 27 SeptAOviedo0-2
- 19 SeptAFC Andorra3-1
- 13 SeptHEldense0-1
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon: FAQ
What is the Castellón vs Sporting Gijon prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Castellón 1-0 Sporting Gijon.
Who is the favourite to win Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
+
Castellón are favourites. Our model gives Castellón a 44% chance of winning, Sporting Gijon 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
+
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Castellón vs Sporting Gijon kick off?
+
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
