Championship· Regular Season - 4· Turf Moor
Burnley
Middlesbrough1-1
FT
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burnley vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XBurnley or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Burnley to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.57 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.84 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.96 | - |
Burnley vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Burnley host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 4) at Turf Moor on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Burnley have won 3, Middlesbrough have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Burnley 38%, draw 32%, Middlesbrough 30%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Burnley vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Burnley vs Middlesbrough?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Burnley a 38% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Burnley vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Burnley vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 September 2026 at Turf Moor, Burnley.
