Premier League· Regular Season - 34· Turf Moor
Burnley
Manchester City0-1
FT
Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 22 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burnley vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XBurnley or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 1Burnley to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.02 | - |
Burnley vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
Burnley host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 34) at Turf Moor on Wednesday, 22 April 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Burnley have won 0, Manchester City have won 6 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Burnley 17%, draw 41%, Manchester City 42%. We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Burnley vs Manchester City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Burnley vs Manchester City?
+
Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Burnley a 17% chance of winning, Manchester City 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Burnley vs Manchester City kick off?
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Burnley vs Manchester City kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 22 April 2026 at Turf Moor, Burnley.
