La Liga 2· Regular Season - 12
Burgos
Castellón1 Nov
Burgos vs Castellón Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burgos vs Castellón tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Castellón +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Castellón or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Burgos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XBurgos or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Castellón to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Castellón -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Burgos to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burgos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Burgos vs Castellón preview & analysis
Match preview
Burgos host Castellón in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Burgos arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Granada CF 0-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games. Castellón arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Burgos have won 0, Castellón have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Castellón narrow favourites: Burgos 23%, draw 38%, Castellón 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Burgos 0-1 Castellón.
Recent form
Burgos- 12 OctHGranada CF0-1
- 3 OctAAlmeria1-2
- 27 SeptHEldense1-0
- 20 SeptALas Palmas2-1
- 11 SeptHAD Ceuta FC3-1
Castellón- 11 OctAFC Andorra0-1
- 4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1
- 28 SeptALeganes2-0
- 19 SeptHTenerife5-0
- 12 SeptAGirona2-1
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
Burgos vs Castellón: FAQ
What is the Burgos vs Castellón prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Burgos 0-1 Castellón.
Who is the favourite to win Burgos vs Castellón?
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Castellón are favourites. Our model gives Burgos a 23% chance of winning, Castellón 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Burgos vs Castellón?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Burgos vs Castellón kick off?
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Burgos vs Castellón kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026.
