World Cup· Round of 32· NRG Stadium
Brazil
Japan2-1
FT
Brazil vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 29 June 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Brazil vs Japan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Brazil +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XBrazil or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Japan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Japan or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| 1Brazil to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Brazil -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.04 | - |
| 2Japan to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Japan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.99 | - |
Brazil vs Japan preview & analysis
Match preview
Brazil host Japan in the World Cup (Round of 32) at NRG Stadium on Monday, 29 June 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Brazil arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Scotland 3-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 7 points from 3 games. Japan arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Sweden 1-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Brazil have won 3, Japan have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brazil narrow favourites: Brazil 44%, draw 38%, Japan 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Brazil- 24 JunAScotland3-0
Japan- 26 JunHSweden1-1
Head to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 |  Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Brazil vs Japan: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Brazil vs Japan?
+
Brazil are favourites. Our model gives Brazil a 44% chance of winning, Japan 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Brazil vs Japan?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Brazil vs Japan kick off?
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Brazil vs Japan kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Monday, 29 June 2026 at NRG Stadium, Houston.
