Ligue 2· Regular Season - 14
Boulogne
PAU4 Dec
Boulogne vs PAU Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 4 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Boulogne vs PAU tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5PAU +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Boulogne +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2PAU or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XBoulogne or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2PAU to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Boulogne to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5PAU -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Boulogne -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Boulogne vs PAU preview & analysis
Match preview
Boulogne host PAU in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 14) on Friday, 4 December 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Boulogne arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Sochaux 1-1 away. They're 16th in the table with 6 points from 8 games. PAU arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Laval 3-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Boulogne have won 1, PAU have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes PAU narrow favourites: Boulogne 23%, draw 38%, PAU 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Boulogne 0-1 PAU.
Recent form
Boulogne- 9 OctASochaux1-1
- 2 OctALe Havre1-6
- 19 SeptHNantes1-2
- 11 SeptAClermont Foot0-0
- 4 SeptHDijon1-1
PAU- 9 OctHLaval3-2
- 3 OctAToulouse3-2
- 18 SeptHDunkerque2-0
- 11 SeptAMontpellier0-1
- 4 SeptHSochaux1-1
Head to head
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  RED Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Boulogne vs PAU: FAQ
What is the Boulogne vs PAU prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Boulogne 0-1 PAU.
Who is the favourite to win Boulogne vs PAU?
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PAU are favourites. Our model gives Boulogne a 23% chance of winning, PAU 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Boulogne vs PAU?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Boulogne vs PAU kick off?
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Boulogne vs PAU kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 4 December 2026.