Copa Sudamericana· Group Stage - 3· Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Botafogo
Independiente Petrolero3-0
FT
Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 28 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Botafogo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XBotafogo or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Independiente Petrolero +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Independiente Petrolero or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.92 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.09 | - |
| 1Botafogo to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Botafogo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.22 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 2Independiente Petrolero to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente Petrolero -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.47 | - |
Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero preview & analysis
Match preview
Botafogo host Independiente Petrolero in the Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage - 3) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos on Tuesday, 28 April 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Botafogo narrow favourites: Botafogo 44%, draw 38%, Independiente Petrolero 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Caracas FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 |  Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero?
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Botafogo are favourites. Our model gives Botafogo a 44% chance of winning, Independiente Petrolero 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero kick off?
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Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Tuesday, 28 April 2026 at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.
