Championship· Regular Season - 20· St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham
Watford8 Dec
Birmingham vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 8 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Birmingham vs Watford tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBirmingham or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Watford or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Birmingham to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2Watford to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Birmingham vs Watford preview & analysis
Match preview
Birmingham host Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 20) at St. Andrew's Stadium on Tuesday, 8 December 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games. Watford are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Cardiff 1-5 away. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Birmingham have won 1, Watford have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Birmingham narrow favourites: Birmingham 44%, draw 38%, Watford 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Birmingham 2-1 Watford.
Recent form
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Watford- 13 OctACardiff1-5
- 10 OctHBurnley0-4
- 18 SeptABristol City0-1
- 12 SeptHStoke City1-2
- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Birmingham vs Watford: FAQ
What is the Birmingham vs Watford prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Birmingham 2-1 Watford.
Who is the favourite to win Birmingham vs Watford?
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Birmingham are favourites. Our model gives Birmingham a 44% chance of winning, Watford 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Watford?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Birmingham vs Watford kick off?
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Birmingham vs Watford kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 8 December 2026 at St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham.
