Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 31· Estádio da Luz
Benfica
Moreirense4-1
FT
Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 25 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Benfica vs Moreirense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XBenfica or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| X2Moreirense or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Benfica to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| 2Moreirense to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 22.86 | - |
Benfica vs Moreirense preview & analysis
Match preview
Benfica host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 31) at Estádio da Luz on Saturday, 25 April 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Benfica have won 3, Moreirense have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica favourites: Benfica 47%, draw 41%, Moreirense 12%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.4 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 37% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 | 21 |
Benfica vs Moreirense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Benfica vs Moreirense?
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Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Benfica a 47% chance of winning, Moreirense 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Moreirense?
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We rate both teams to score at 37%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Benfica vs Moreirense kick off?
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Benfica vs Moreirense kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.
