Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 12
Benfica
Famalicao30 Nov
Benfica vs Famalicao Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 30 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.2
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Benfica vs Famalicao tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBenfica or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Famalicao +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Famalicao or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Benfica to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2Famalicao to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Famalicao -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Benfica vs Famalicao preview & analysis
Match preview
Benfica host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Monday, 30 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Benfica arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Celtic 3-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Famalicao arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Alverca 1-4 at home. They're 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Benfica have won 3, Famalicao have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Benfica 44%, draw 38%, Famalicao 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Benfica 2-1 Famalicao.
Recent form
Benfica- 15 OctHCeltic3-1
- 11 OctHVitória SC2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Porto1-3
- 16 SeptAAC Milan2-0
- 13 SeptHGIL Vicente3-1
Famalicao- 12 OctHAlverca1-4
- 19 SeptANacional4-0
- 13 SeptHSporting CP1-1
- 5 SeptAEstrela2-2
- 30 AugHGIL Vicente0-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Benfica vs Famalicao: FAQ
What is the Benfica vs Famalicao prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Benfica 2-1 Famalicao.
Who is the favourite to win Benfica vs Famalicao?
+
Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Benfica a 44% chance of winning, Famalicao 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Famalicao?
+
We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Benfica vs Famalicao kick off?
+
Benfica vs Famalicao kicks off at 20:15 UTC on Monday, 30 November 2026.