Serie B· Regular Season - 16· Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Benevento
Padova8 Dec
Benevento vs Padova Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 8 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
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More Benevento vs Padova tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Benevento +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XBenevento or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Padova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Padova or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Benevento to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Benevento -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Padova to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Padova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Benevento vs Padova preview & analysis
Match preview
Benevento host Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 16) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito on Tuesday, 8 December 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Benevento arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Cesena 2-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Padova are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Benevento have won 1, Padova have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benevento narrow favourites: Benevento 44%, draw 38%, Padova 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Benevento 1-0 Padova.
Recent form
Benevento- 10 OctHCesena2-0
- 2 OctAFrosinone1-2
- 19 SeptACarrarese1-0
- 11 SeptHHellas Verona3-1
- 5 SeptAAscoli0-1
Padova- 11 OctHCarrarese0-2
- 19 SeptAPalermo1-2
- 12 SeptHAscoli1-0
- 6 SeptACremonese1-3
- 29 AugHHellas Verona1-1
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Benevento vs Padova: FAQ
What is the Benevento vs Padova prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Benevento 1-0 Padova.
Who is the favourite to win Benevento vs Padova?
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Benevento are favourites. Our model gives Benevento a 44% chance of winning, Padova 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Benevento vs Padova?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Benevento vs Padova kick off?
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Benevento vs Padova kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Tuesday, 8 December 2026 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
