Brasileirão· Regular Season - 13· Arena MRV
Atletico-MG
Flamengo0-4
FT
Atletico-MG vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 27 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico-MG vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XAtletico-MG or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Flamengo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Atletico-MG to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Atletico-MG vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico-MG host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 13) at Arena MRV on Monday, 27 April 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico-MG have won 1, Flamengo have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo narrow favourites: Atletico-MG 23%, draw 38%, Flamengo 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico-MG vs Flamengo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico-MG vs Flamengo?
+
Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Atletico-MG a 23% chance of winning, Flamengo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Atletico-MG vs Flamengo kick off?
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Atletico-MG vs Flamengo kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Monday, 27 April 2026 at Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte.
