Copa del Rey· Final· Estadio de La Cartuja
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad2-2
FT
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 18 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Real Sociedad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Real Sociedad or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Real Sociedad to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Real Sociedad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey (Final) at Estadio de La Cartuja on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 4, Real Sociedad have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 44%, draw 38%, Real Sociedad 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 44% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad kick off?
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla.
