Liga MX· Apertura - 11· Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas1-1
FT
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| X2Guadalajara Chivas or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| AH1 +1.5Atlas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| 1XAtlas or Draw | 54% | 1.85 | 1.74 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.76 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 1.98 |
| 2Guadalajara Chivas to win | 46% | 2.17 | 2.08 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.08 | 2.70 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.39 | 3.55 |
| AH2 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.42 | 3.34 |
| 1Atlas to win | 24% | 4.10 | 3.54 |
| AH1 -1.5Atlas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.58 | 7.00 |
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.95 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 3.40 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.08 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.40 | 1.97 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 1.95 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.81 | 2.08 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.25 | 3.24 | 2.03 | 1.78 | 2.06 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.55 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlas host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 11) at Estadio Jalisco on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atlas arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Most recently they beat Club Tijuana 3-2 away. They're 6th in the table with 18 points from 11 games. Guadalajara Chivas arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Club America 2-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlas have won 0, Guadalajara Chivas have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas favourites: Atlas 24%, draw 30%, Guadalajara Chivas 46%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atlas- 26 SeptAClub Tijuana3-2
- 20 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
- 13 SeptAToluca2-5
- 6 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
- 30 AugHClub Queretaro1-3
Guadalajara Chivas- 5 OctHClub America2-0
- 27 SeptHClub Queretaro0-2
- 20 SeptAClub America2-2
- 14 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
- 6 SeptAAtletico San Luis3-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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Guadalajara Chivas are favourites. Our model gives Atlas a 24% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 46%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?
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Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
