MLS· Regular Season - 19· Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls2-1
FT
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 16 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5New York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| 1XAtlanta United FC or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| X2New York Red Bulls or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 1Atlanta United FC to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2New York Red Bulls to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atlanta United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.22 | - |
| AH2 -1.5New York Red Bulls -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.45 | - |
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlanta United FC host New York Red Bulls in the MLS (Regular Season - 19) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, 16 August 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlanta United FC have won 2, New York Red Bulls have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atlanta United FC narrow favourites: Atlanta United FC 38%, draw 32%, New York Red Bulls 30%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
+
Atlanta United FC are favourites. Our model gives Atlanta United FC a 38% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
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Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 16 August 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
