Premier League· Regular Season - 33· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Sunderland4-3
FT
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 19 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aston Villa vs Sunderland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Sunderland or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.87 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.15 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Sunderland to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.60 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.31 | - |
Aston Villa vs Sunderland preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Sunderland in the Premier League (Regular Season - 33) at Villa Park on Sunday, 19 April 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 3, Sunderland have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites: Aston Villa 38%, draw 32%, Sunderland 30%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
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Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 38% chance of winning, Sunderland 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Aston Villa vs Sunderland kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Sunderland kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 19 April 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
