Europa League· Semi-finals· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest4-0
FT
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 7 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2Nottingham Forest or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2Nottingham Forest to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Nottingham Forest -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest in the Europa League (Semi-finals) at Villa Park on Thursday, 7 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 3, Nottingham Forest have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites: Aston Villa 44%, draw 38%, Nottingham Forest 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
+
Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 44% chance of winning, Nottingham Forest 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 7 May 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
