Premier League· Regular Season - 37· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Liverpool4-2
FT
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 15 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aston Villa vs Liverpool tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Liverpool or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Liverpool to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Aston Villa vs Liverpool preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 37) at Villa Park on Friday, 15 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 0, Liverpool have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Liverpool narrow favourites: Aston Villa 23%, draw 38%, Liverpool 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Aston Villa vs Liverpool: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
+
Liverpool are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 23% chance of winning, Liverpool 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Liverpool?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Aston Villa vs Liverpool kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 15 May 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.