Premier League· Regular Season - 2· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Arsenal0-1
FT
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 31 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aston Villa vs Arsenal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Arsenal or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Arsenal to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Aston Villa vs Arsenal preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Arsenal in the Premier League (Regular Season - 2) at Villa Park on Monday, 31 August 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 3, Arsenal have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Aston Villa 23%, draw 38%, Arsenal 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
+
Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 23% chance of winning, Arsenal 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Aston Villa vs Arsenal kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
