Premier League· Regular Season - 37· Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Burnley1-0
FT
Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 18 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Arsenal vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XArsenal or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 52% | 1.92 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 48% | 2.09 | - |
| 1Arsenal to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.79 | - |
Arsenal vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Arsenal host Burnley in the Premier League (Regular Season - 37) at Emirates Stadium on Monday, 18 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arsenal have won 4, Burnley have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal favourites: Arsenal 47%, draw 41%, Burnley 12%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Arsenal vs Burnley: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Arsenal vs Burnley?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Arsenal a 47% chance of winning, Burnley 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 48%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Arsenal vs Burnley kick off?
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Arsenal vs Burnley kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Monday, 18 May 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London.