Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 2· Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca
Moreirense4-0
FT
Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 16 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Arouca vs Moreirense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Moreirense or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Arouca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XArouca or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Moreirense to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.53 | - |
| 1Arouca to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Arouca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.10 | - |
Arouca vs Moreirense preview & analysis
Match preview
Arouca host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 2) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca on Sunday, 16 August 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arouca have won 2, Moreirense have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Moreirense narrow favourites: Arouca 23%, draw 38%, Moreirense 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Arouca vs Moreirense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Arouca vs Moreirense?
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Moreirense are favourites. Our model gives Arouca a 23% chance of winning, Moreirense 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Arouca vs Moreirense?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Arouca vs Moreirense kick off?
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Arouca vs Moreirense kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 16 August 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca.
