Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 4· Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca
Maritimo2-1
FT
Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Arouca vs Maritimo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Arouca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Maritimo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| 1XArouca or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Maritimo or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.07 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Arouca to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Maritimo to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Arouca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Maritimo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.67 | - |
Arouca vs Maritimo preview & analysis
Match preview
Arouca host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 4) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca on Saturday, 29 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Arouca arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 0-2 away. They're 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Maritimo arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Academico Viseu 2-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arouca have won 2, Maritimo have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arouca narrow favourites: Arouca 38%, draw 32%, Maritimo 30%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 47% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Arouca- 23 AugAFC Porto0-2
Maritimo- 22 AugHAcademico Viseu2-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Arouca vs Maritimo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Arouca vs Maritimo?
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Arouca are favourites. Our model gives Arouca a 38% chance of winning, Maritimo 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Arouca vs Maritimo?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Arouca vs Maritimo kick off?
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Arouca vs Maritimo kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca.
