Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 2· FC Alverca Sports Complex
Alverca
Estrela2-2
FT
Alverca vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 15 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Alverca vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Alverca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XAlverca or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Alverca to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Alverca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | - |
Alverca vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Alverca host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 2) at FC Alverca Sports Complex on Saturday, 15 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Alverca have won 0, Estrela have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Estrela narrow favourites: Alverca 23%, draw 38%, Estrela 39%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Alverca vs Estrela: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Alverca vs Estrela?
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Estrela are favourites. Our model gives Alverca a 23% chance of winning, Estrela 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Alverca vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Alverca vs Estrela kick off?
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Alverca vs Estrela kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 15 August 2026 at FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo.
