Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 16· Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Al Shabab
NEOM3 Dec
Al Shabab vs NEOM Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 3 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
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More Al Shabab vs NEOM tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5NEOM +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2NEOM or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Al Shabab +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XAl Shabab or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2NEOM to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NEOM -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Al Shabab to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al Shabab -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Al Shabab vs NEOM preview & analysis
Match preview
Al Shabab host NEOM in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 16) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium on Thursday, 3 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al Shabab arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Al Taawon 3-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games. NEOM arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut 4-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 16 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Al Shabab have won 1, NEOM have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes NEOM narrow favourites: Al Shabab 23%, draw 38%, NEOM 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al Shabab 0-1 NEOM.
Recent form
Al Shabab- 11 OctHAl Taawon3-0
- 12 SeptHAl-Fayha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl Kholood1-2
- 4 SeptHAl-Hilal Saudi FC0-2
- 30 AugAAl-Hazm1-1
NEOM- 13 OctHAl Sha'ab Hadhramaut4-0
- 10 OctAAl-Hazm1-1
- 13 SeptHAl-Fateh4-2
- 7 SeptAAl-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
- 3 SeptHAl Khaleej Saihat3-0
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al Shabab vs NEOM: FAQ
What is the Al Shabab vs NEOM prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Al Shabab 0-1 NEOM.
Who is the favourite to win Al Shabab vs NEOM?
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NEOM are favourites. Our model gives Al Shabab a 23% chance of winning, NEOM 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs NEOM?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al Shabab vs NEOM kick off?
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Al Shabab vs NEOM kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 3 December 2026 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh.