Eredivisie· Regular Season - 2· Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax
Heerenveen2-2
FT
Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 16 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ajax vs Heerenveen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAjax or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Heerenveen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Heerenveen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Ajax to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Heerenveen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Heerenveen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Ajax vs Heerenveen preview & analysis
Match preview
Ajax host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 2) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Sunday, 16 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ajax have won 3, Heerenveen have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: Ajax 44%, draw 38%, Heerenveen 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Ajax vs Heerenveen: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ajax vs Heerenveen?
+
Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Ajax a 44% chance of winning, Heerenveen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Heerenveen?
+
We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Ajax vs Heerenveen kick off?
+
Ajax vs Heerenveen kicks off at 14:45 UTC on Sunday, 16 August 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
