Eredivisie· Semi-finals· Kras Stadion
Ajax
Groningen2-0
FT
Ajax vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 21 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ajax vs Groningen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAjax or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Groningen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Groningen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Ajax to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Groningen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Groningen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Ajax vs Groningen preview & analysis
Match preview
Ajax host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Semi-finals) at Kras Stadion on Thursday, 21 May 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ajax have won 4, Groningen have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: Ajax 44%, draw 38%, Groningen 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 19 |
Ajax vs Groningen: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ajax vs Groningen?
+
Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Ajax a 44% chance of winning, Groningen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Groningen?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Ajax vs Groningen kick off?
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Ajax vs Groningen kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 21 May 2026 at Kras Stadion, Volendam.
