Liga Profesional· Clausura - 13· Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.18 Oct
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Velez Sarsfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| 1XVelez Sarsfield or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.18 |
| AH2 +1.5Gimnasia M. +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| 1Velez Sarsfield to win | 52% | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| X2Gimnasia M. or Draw | 48% | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.01 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | 2.19 |
| AH1 -1.5Velez Sarsfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | 3.47 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | 3.41 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 | 3.84 |
| 2Gimnasia M. to win | 18% | 5.42 | 5.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Gimnasia M. -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.82 | 9.40 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.60 | - | - | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.41 | 5.00 | 2.19 | 1.68 | 2.01 | 1.72 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.40 | 4.50 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.34 | 4.90 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.01 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.75 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.62 | 2.18 | 1.69 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.05 | 3.89 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.55 | 4.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. preview & analysis
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 13) at Jose Amalfitani on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Velez Sarsfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Lanus 0-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 28 points from 16 games. Gimnasia M. arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Newells Old Boys 1-0 at home. They're 11th in the table with 19 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Velez Sarsfield have won 0, Gimnasia M. have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Velez Sarsfield favourites: Velez Sarsfield 52%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.68, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia M..
Recent form
Velez Sarsfield- 12 OctALanus0-2
- 5 OctHPlatense2-2
- 21 SeptHTigre3-2
- 11 SeptANewells Old Boys1-1
- 6 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.1-0
Gimnasia M.- 12 OctHNewells Old Boys1-0
- 5 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-3
- 19 SeptHDeportivo Riestra0-0
- 11 SeptADefensa Y Justicia0-2
- 5 SeptHBoca Juniors2-2
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.: FAQ
What is the Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.68. Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia M..
Who is the favourite to win Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
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Velez Sarsfield are favourites. Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 52% chance of winning, Gimnasia M. 18%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. kick off?
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Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires.
