Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 11· Stadion Poznan
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce18 Oct
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Lech Poznan to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
2.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| 1XLech Poznan or Draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.46 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| AH1 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 51% | 1.97 | 2.21 |
| AH2 +1.5Korona Kielce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 49% | 2.04 | 1.53 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.18 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | 2.29 |
| X2Korona Kielce or Draw | 39% | 2.55 | 2.53 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | 2.38 |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.94 | 4.60 |
| 2Korona Kielce to win | 14% | 7.21 | 5.81 |
| AH2 -1.5Korona Kielce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 35.88 | - |
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.50 | 5.81 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.60 | 5.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.75 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.50 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.63 | 5.87 | 1.54 | 2.46 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.44 | 3.98 | 4.94 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.80 | 1.55 | 2.42 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce preview & analysis
Match preview
Lech Poznan host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) at Stadion Poznan on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Slask Wroclaw 4-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 22 points from 9 games. Korona Kielce are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Pogon Szczecin 0-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 15 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lech Poznan have won 4, Korona Kielce have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lech Poznan clear favourites: Lech Poznan 61%, draw 25%, Korona Kielce 14%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Lech Poznan have the stronger profile here and home advantage tips it further their way. Our pick is Lech Poznan to win at 1.51, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce.
Recent form
Lech Poznan- 10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1
- 3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2
- 20 SeptHRadomiak Radom5-1
- 17 SeptACrystal Palace0-4
- 12 SeptAGornik Zabrze1-2
Korona Kielce- 11 OctAPogon Szczecin0-2
- 3 OctALegia Warszawa1-5
- 19 SeptHRaków Częstochowa3-2
- 15 SeptHGornik Zabrze0-2
- 12 SeptASlask Wroclaw2-1
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 3 |
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce: FAQ
What is the Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction?
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Our tip is Lech Poznan to win at odds of 1.51. Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce.
Who is the favourite to win Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
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Lech Poznan are favourites. Our model gives Lech Poznan a 61% chance of winning, Korona Kielce 14%, and the draw 25%.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce kick off?
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Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stadion Poznan.
